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◄Faculty of Business and Economics►






                 AA037007                     TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
                 3 Credits


                 Learning Outcomes            At the end of the course, students are able to:
                                             (1)   Examine time series  patterns of data (graphically  and
                                                   quantitatively);
                                             (2)   Construct forecasting models that incorporate correlated
                                                   error structures;
                                              (3)   Compare  the forecasting  performance  of the  different
                                                   models developed for a given set of data; and
                                              (4)   Explain the results arising from the application of time
                                                   series analysis in various fields.


                 Synopsis of Course           This course exposes students to the study of time series data.
                 Contents                     It focuses on the use of statistical models (such as classical
                                              decomposition,  exponential  smoothing,  least  squares,
                                              ARIMA) for forecasting. Students learn to assess and select
                                              an appropriate model from among different possible models
                                              for  a  given  set  of  data.  The  use  of  statistical  software  to
                                              analyse data ensures that the students learn the nuances of
                                              modelling correlated error structures.


                 Assessment Weightage         Continuous Assessment: 60%
                                              Final Examination: 40%


                 Medium of Instruction        English













































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