Page 60 - handbook 20162017
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Faculty of Science Handbook, Session 2016/2017



               Assessment:                                     SIT3006  FURTHER    TOPICS   IN   REGRESSION
               Continuous Assessment:       40%                         ANALYSIS
               Final Examination:           60%
                                                               Multiple Linear Regression Model: Simultaneous Inference,
               Medium of Instruction:                          criteria for selecting model, influence diagnostics and multi-
               English                                         collinearity. Introduction to logistic regression and Poisson
                                                               regression:   maximum   likelihood   estimates   of   the
               Humanity Skill:                                 parameters,  lack  of  fit  test,  tests  based  on  deviance  and
               CS3, CT3, LL2                                   score.
               References:                                     Assessment:
               1.  Ross,  S.  M.  (2003)  An  introduction  to  probability  Continuous Assessment:  40%
                   models, Eighth Edition, Academic press.     Final Examination:           60%
               2.  Kao,  E.  P.  C.  (1997)  An  introduction  to  stochastic
                   processes, Duxbury Press.                   Medium of Instruction:
               3.  Ross,  S.  M. (1996)  Stochastic  processes,  Second  English
                   Edition, John Wiley.
               4.  Durrett, R. (2012). Essentials of stochastic processes,  Humanity Skill:
                   Second Edition, Springer.                   CS2, CT2, LL3
                                                               References:
               SIT3005 TIME SERIES AND FORECASTING METHODS     1.  S.  Weisberg  (2005).  Applied  Linear  Regression,  3 rd
                                                                   Ed., Wiley
               Introduction to time series: data, properties, examples.  2.  A. Agresti (2013).  Categorical  data  analysis,  3 rd  Ed.
                                                                   Wiley.
               Introduction to forecasting:  Forecasting methods, errors in  3.  P. McCullagh& J.A. Nelder, (1989). Generalized Linear
                                                                          nd
               forecasting, choosing  a  forecasting  techniques,  qualitative  Models, 2 Ed, Chapman& Hall.
               and quantitative forecasting techniques.        4.  R.H.  Myers  (1990)  Classical  and  Modern  Regression
                                                                   with applications, Second Edition. Duxbury/Thompson.
               Time  series  regression:    Modelling  trend,  detecting  5.  R.R.  Hocking  (2013).  Method  and  Applications  of
               autocorrelation,  type  of  seasonal  variation, modelling  Linear  Models:  Regression  and  the  analysis  of
                                                                           rd
               seasonal  variation,  growth  curve  models,  handling  first-  variance, 3 Ed. Wiley.
               order autocorrelation
               Averaging methods:  Moving average, Simple exponential  SIT3007  DATA ANALYSIS II
               smoothing,  tracking  signals,  Holt’s  method,  Holt-Winters
               Methods, damped trend exponential method.       Introduction to different kind of data; Generalizing the linear
                                                               regression  models  including  nonlinear  regression  model,
               Box-Jenkins Methods:  Stationary  data  and  non-stationary  Linear  regression  in  time  series  data,  logistic  regression
               data,  difference,  autocorrelation  function  and  partial  and  Poisson  regression  models  for  categorical  response
               autocorrelation functions, non-seasonal modeling (ARIMA),  data and selected topics
               diagnostic checking, forecasting.
               ARCH and GARCH models.                          Practical survey sampling: Selected case study, design of
                                                               study,  questionnaires,  collecting  data,  data  analysis,  oral
               Assessment:                                     and written presentation
               Continuous Assessment:       40%                Statistical  consulting:  Theoretical  and  practical  aspects  of
               Final Examination:           60%                statistical consulting, Communication skill
                                                               Report writing
               Medium of Instruction:
               English                                         Assessment:
                                                               Continuous Assessment:       50%
               Humanity Skill:                                 Final Examination:           50%
               CS3, CT3, LL2
                                                               Medium of Instruction:
               References:                                     English
               1.  Brockwell, P.J. and Davis, R. A. (2002). Introduction to
                   Time  Series  Analysis  and  Forecasting,  2 nd  edition.  Humanity Skill:
                   Springer.                                   CS4, CT3, TS5
               2.  Montgomery,  D.  C.,  Jennings,  C.  L.  and  Kulahci,  M.
                   (2008)  Introduction  to  Time  Series  Analysis  and  References:
                   Forecasting.                                1.  S-Plus  2000  Guide  to  Statistics  Volume  1  and  II,
               3.  Box,  G.E.P.,  Jenkins,  G.W.,  and  Reinsel,  G.  (1994)  Mathsoft corporation.
                   Time  series  analysis,  forecasting  and  control,  3 rd  2.  Cramer,  D.  (2003)  Advanced  Quantitative  Data
                   edition. Prentice Hall.                         Analysis. Open University Press.
               4.  Makridakis,  S.,  Wheelwright,  S.C.,  Hyndman,  R.J.  3.  Evans,  J.R.  and  Olson,  D.L.  (2007) Statistics,  Data
                   (1998) Forecasting Methods and Application, Wiley.  Analysis, and Decision Modeling. Prentice Hall
               5.  Lazim, M.A. (2001) Introductory Business Forecasting,  4.  Miller,  D.C.  and  Salkind,  J.  (1983)    Handbook  of
                   A practical approach, Univision Press.          Research  Design  and  Social  measurements.  Sage
               6.  Bowerman, B.L., O'Connel, R.T., Boehler, A.B. (2005)  Publication.
                   Forecasting, Time Series and Regression, Duxbury.  5.  Derr,  J.  (2000)  Statistical  Consulting:  A  guide  to
                                                                   effective communication, Pacific Grove: Duxbury.
                                                               6.  Jarman, Kristin H.(2013) Art of Data Analysis : How to
                                                                   Answer  Almost  any  Question  Using  Basic  Statistics,
                                                                   John Wiley & Sons



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