Page 50 - ASEAN-EU Dialogue 2018: Regional and Inter-Regional Economic Cooperation: Identifying Priorities for ASEAN and the EU
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Table 8.6: Selected ASEAN Countries: Grubel Lloyd IIT Indices for Electronics and
                                           Electrical (E&E) Goods, 2010-2016

                    Country/Year         2011/2            2013/4           2015/6            2017/8
                   Indonesia         0.61             0.53              0.55             0.5
                   Malaysia          0.92             0.92              0.92             0.90
                   Philippines       0.92             0.87              0.77             1.0
                   Singapore         0.87             0.89              0.87             0.9
                   Thailand          0.96             0.93              0.99             1.0
                   Vietnam           0.65             0.90              0.94             1.0
                    Source: Authors’ estimates.

               Table 8.6 shows the overwhelming importance of IIT in the ASEAN countries with major E&E
               exports, the sole exception being Indonesia.  With the exception of Singapore and possibly
               Malaysia, location of supply chains in Southeast Asia is often to take advantage of low cost
               labour in host countries.  Labour intensive (relative to other parts of the supply chain) assembly
               is what ASEAN host countries specialize in.  In this situation, the transfer of technology may
               be limited.  It is therefore highly plausible for low domestic technological capability to be
               compatible with relatively high technology-intensive exports.

               It can also be noted that if assembly operations are undertaken, then not much value is added
               to the products in these chains.  One way to test this is to review the value of net exports, which
               is exports minus imports of the same product, in this case, E&E.  This is shown in Table 8.7.

                Table 8.7: Selected ASEAN Countries: Net Exports of E&E as % of Manufactured Exports,
                                                       2010-2016

                             Year         2010             2012              2014             2016
                   Country           Gross     Net    Gross     Net     Gross     Net     Gross    Net
                   Indonesia          25.6     -33.1   26.8     -46.7    24.1    -39.9    21.7     -57.7
                   Malaysia           67.1        9.9   65.6       8.6   67.0       9.7   68.1     12.0
                   Philippines        69.7    12.3     70.7     15.8     70.9     26.1    75.0         3.1
                   Singapore          71.6    15.9     67.4     13.3     67.6     15.2    70.2       15.9
                   Thailand           46.6        3.2   43.4      -6.8   44.0        0.5   45.3        1.1
                   Vietnam            23.7     -25.8   39.1       -9.0   42.8      -5.0   49.1        -1.3
                    Source: UN Comtrade Database

               Table 8.7 shows the wide disparity between gross export and net export values.  For Malaysia,
               the Philippines and Singapore, and in the near future Vietnam, from shares of gross exports in
               manufactured exports of around 70%, the net export share of manufactured exports is reduced
               to less than a quarter of the gross export share. This translates into high import content for these
               countries’ E&E exports.

               A more direct way to visualize the domestic contribution of E&E exports is to calculate the
               value-added of these  exports.  While such data  are unavailable for  ASEAN countries, the
               modest values of net exports suggest that such value-added should be modest. Further, the
               technology intensity of E&E exports has most certainly originated from imports.




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